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Kalamata vs AEK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalamata host AEK in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Kalamata have averaged 1.69 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against AEK's 2.27 scored and 0.94 conceded. Past meetings favor AEK slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 22, 2011, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.81) back Kalamata to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kalamata
15%
Draws
34%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalamata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AEK average 2.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Kalamata's 1.69.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kalamata taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 11%
AEK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalamata AEK
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.69 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2011 Greek Cup
Kalamata vs AEK
0:1
Mar 11, 2001 Super League
AEK vs Kalamata
3:0
Nov 18, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs AEK
3:1
May 26, 2000 Super League
AEK vs Kalamata
6:1
Jan 30, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs AEK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalamata 40 / 100
AEK 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalamata AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Kalamata scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Kalamata stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AEK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalamata VS AEK
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalamata

(Home)
28 Oct
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2
Kalamata
25 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
5 : 0
Kalamata
18 Oct
Kalamata
4 : 3
OFI Crete
12 Oct
PAOK
1 : 3
Kalamata
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

AEK

(Away)
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0
Panetolikos
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
14 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 1
AEK
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 6 1 1 12:2 19
3 AEK 7 5 2 0 21:3 17
4 Aris 8 5 1 2 13:14 16
5 PAOK 8 5 0 3 16:11 15
6 OFI Crete 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
7 Kifisia 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
8 Kalamata 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
9 Iraklis FC 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
10 Panetolikos 8 3 0 5 8:16 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 8 1 3 4 7:15 6
12 Levadiakos 8 0 3 5 0:11 3
13 Atromitos 7 0 2 5 6:12 2
14 Volos 8 0 3 5 6:13 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)