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Kalamata vs Iraklis FC

Greece Greece

Super League 2 Olympic Stadium of Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Tselios I.

AI Match Summary

Kalamata host Iraklis FC in the Super League 2. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Iraklis FC have shipped 0.38 goals a game lately, while Kalamata have conceded 0.38 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Kalamata have won 1 to Iraklis FC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward Kalamata. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kalamata
28%
Draws
22%
Iraklis FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kalamata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kalamata has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Iraklis FC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Kalamata.
  • Cup tournament structure in Super League 2 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 68%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalamata Iraklis FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 24 20
Draws 3 8
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Iraklis FC
1:0
Feb 10, 2001 Super League
Iraklis FC vs Kalamata
1:0
Sep 30, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs Iraklis FC
0:0
Mar 25, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs Iraklis FC
2:2
Nov 20, 1999 Super League
Iraklis FC vs Kalamata
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Tselios I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Iraklis FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalamata 59 / 100
Iraklis FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalamata Iraklis FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalamata scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Iraklis FC let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Kalamata went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Iraklis FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalamata VS Iraklis FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Iraklis FC0
Kalamata1