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Kalamata vs Panathinaikos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata
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Match Events

33' Event
Tetteh A.
42'
Alonso J.
44'
Kangwa K.

AI Match Summary

Panathinaikos in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panathinaikos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kalamata
30%
Draws
50%
Panathinaikos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Panathinaikos haven't matched Kalamata's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Panathinaikos a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Panathinaikos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 12%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalamata Panathinaikos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.77 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos
0:1
May 26, 2001 Super League
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos
2:4
Jan 20, 2001 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Kalamata
1:0
Feb 27, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos
0:0
Oct 16, 1999 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Kalamata
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalamata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Panathinaikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Tetteh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalamata 10 / 100
Panathinaikos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalamata Panathinaikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kalamata scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kalamata went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Panathinaikos let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalamata VS Panathinaikos
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalamata

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Sept
Volos
2 : 2
Kalamata
Page 1 of 6

Panathinaikos

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
16 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
Kifisia
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)