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Stadium Background

Kalamata vs Panetolikos

Greece Greece

Greek Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kaloutsikidis P.
34' Event
Vargas K.
50' Event
Vargas K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kalamata
30%
Draws
42%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kalamata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kalamata taking it.
  • Kalamata have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kalamata, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 17%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalamata Panetolikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Kalamata
2:0
Aug 19, 2026 Greek Cup
Kalamata vs Panetolikos
4:2
Aug 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Panetolikos vs Kalamata
0:0
Oct 19, 2022 Greek Cup
Kalamata vs Panetolikos
3:2
Mar 31, 2010 Football League
Kalamata vs Panetolikos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaloutsikidis P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Satsias G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalamata 41 / 100
Panetolikos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalamata Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalamata scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Panetolikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Kalamata went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalamata VS Panetolikos
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalamata

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Sept
Volos
2 : 2
Kalamata
Page 1 of 6

Panetolikos

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Athens Kallithea -
TBD -
AO Trikala 0
AEL Larissa 4
Iraklis FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Volos -
Atromitos -
TBD -
TBD -
Pyrgos -
Zakynthos -
TBD -
TBD -
Kifisia -
Karditsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Aris -
Ellas Syrou -
TBD -
TBD -
Marko -
Niki Volos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panionios -
Levadiakos -
TBD -
TBD -
Asteras Tripolis -
Chrisoupolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Apollon Kalamaria -
Kalamata -
TBD -
TBD -
Panetolikos -
Panserraikos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panthrakikos -
Final
Athens Kallithea 1
AEL Larissa 3
Iraklis FC 1
Volos 3
Atromitos 3
Pyrgos 1
Zakynthos 1
Kifisia 6
Karditsa 0
Aris 2
Ellas Syrou 1
Marko 2
Niki Volos 1
Panionios 0
Levadiakos 0
Asteras Tripolis 3
Chrisoupolis 1
Apollon Kalamaria 0
Kalamata 4
Panetolikos 2
Panserraikos 2
Panthrakikos 1