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Kaliakra vs Botev Novi Pazar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2017/2018 game between Kaliakra and Botev Novi Pazar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaliakra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kaliakra
20%
Draws
46%
Botev Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Novi Pazar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kaliakra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 19%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaliakra Botev Novi Pazar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2018 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Kaliakra
4:2
Aug 25, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:3
Apr 6, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
Oct 28, 2017 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Botev Novi Pazar
1:0
Aug 12, 2017 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Kaliakra
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaliakra 42 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaliakra Botev Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Kaliakra scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Botev Novi Pazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Kaliakra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Botev Novi Pazar
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaliakra

(Home)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
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Botev Novi Pazar

(Away)
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
22 Aug
Fratria II
3 : 6
Botev Novi Pazar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 30 28 2 0 101:10 86
2 Suvorovo 30 20 4 6 81:21 64
3 Lokomotiv Ruse 30 15 6 9 49:31 51
4 Hitrino 30 14 9 7 43:36 51
5 Septemvri Tervel 30 14 4 12 48:49 46
6 Svetkavitsa 30 12 6 12 44:26 42
7 Kaliakra 30 12 6 12 40:43 42
8 Spartak Varna 30 10 6 14 43:61 36
9 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 3 21 25:78 21
10 Kubrat 30 4 5 21 22:61 17
11 Benkovski Byala 30 3 3 24 20:100 12
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)