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Kalinkovo vs Nova Dedinka

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Kalinkovo host Nova Dedinka in the 4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kalinkovo at 1.25 goals for, 2.25 against; Nova Dedinka at 2.25 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Kalinkovo have won 1 to Nova Dedinka's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.25) point toward Nova Dedinka. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Kalinkovo
17%
Draws
70%
Nova Dedinka
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nova Dedinka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Nova Dedinka has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kalinkovo.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Nova Dedinka.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kalinkovo Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Dedinka Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalinkovo Nova Dedinka
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 4. liga - Bratislava
Kalinkovo vs Nova Dedinka
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Nova Dedinka vs Kalinkovo
2:1
Jun 17, 2023 4. liga - Bratislava
Nova Dedinka vs Kalinkovo
1:1
Aug 31, 2022 4. liga - Bratislava
Kalinkovo vs Nova Dedinka
0:1
Jun 11, 2022 4. liga - Bratislava
Kalinkovo vs Nova Dedinka
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalinkovo 14 / 100
Nova Dedinka 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalinkovo Nova Dedinka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalinkovo scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Nova Dedinka let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Kalinkovo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nova Dedinka lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalinkovo VS Nova Dedinka
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%