Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Kalju U21 Logo

Kalju U21

1 - 5
FT
Flora Tallinn U21 Logo

Flora Tallinn U21

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Zotov D.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Pihlak P.
Assist: Palts J.
15' Event
Lorenz K.
Assist: Raudsalu R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Kalju U21 and Flora Tallinn U21 finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora Tallinn U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kalju U21
15%
Draws
59%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju U21 haven't matched Flora Tallinn U21's recent run of results.
  • Flora Tallinn U21 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Flora Tallinn U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.27 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:5
Aug 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kalju U21
3:0
Jul 25, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:5
Mar 19, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kalju U21
3:1
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakovenko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pihlak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 10 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Kalju U21's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Kalju U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Flora Tallinn U21
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)