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Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

Kalju U21 play Maardu Linnameeskond in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalju U21 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Maardu Linnameeskond averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Kalju U21 won 1, Maardu Linnameeskond won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Kalju U21 and 1.75 for Maardu Linnameeskond. This points to a Maardu Linnameeskond double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kalju U21
16%
Draws
48%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju U21 picked up more points recently compared to Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Kalju U21
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
3:2
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:4
Oct 6, 2018 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:1
Jul 14, 2018 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Kalju U21
10:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Panchenko Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 35 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maardu Linnameeskond or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalju U21 attacking → ← attacking Maardu Linnameeskond

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju U21 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Kalju U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 41
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63