Sport Picks

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Kalju U21 vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju U21 host Nomme Utd U21 in the Esiliiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kalju U21 have averaged 1.24 scored and 2.62 conceded recently, against Nomme Utd U21's 1.62 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Kalju U21 have won 2 to Nomme Utd U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.88) point toward Nomme Utd U21. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kalju U21
15%
Draws
57%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nomme Utd U21 lately — more wins on the board than Kalju U21.
  • Model gives Nomme Utd U21 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kalju U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kalju U21
2:0
Jun 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
4:1
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kalju U21
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 26 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Kalju U21's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Nomme Utd U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Nomme Utd U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
23 Aug
Kalju U21
2 : 4
Tartu JK Welco
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
24 Aug
Viimsi JK
4 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 29 14 5 10 46:43 47
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 28 7 7 14 34:62 28
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)