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Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
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Match Events

8' Event
Ilves R.
Assist: Mihhailov V.
62' Event
Ilves R.
90' Event
De Pizzol O.
Assist: Sal-Al-Saller D.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Kalju U21 and Tallinna Kalev finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kalju U21
15%
Draws
49%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju U21 haven't matched Tallinna Kalev's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.32 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:3
Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Kalju U21
5:1
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:4
Oct 2, 2016 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:1
Aug 13, 2016 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Kalju U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilves R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Pizzol O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 26 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Kalju U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Tallinna Kalev has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Tallinna Kalev lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Tallinna Kalev
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2
Viimsi JK
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)