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Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Tambedou M.
59'
Sub
Lotar Eyang E. E. In: Mannilaan M.
Out: Lotar Eyang E. E.
66'
Sub
Kriis K. In: Ndakala J.
Out: Kriis K.

AI Match Summary

Harju JK Laagri in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harju JK Laagri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kalju
15%
Draws
46%
Harju JK Laagri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju have won more games recently than Harju JK Laagri.
  • Harju JK Laagri are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kalju Clean Sheet 11%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Harju JK Laagri
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri
0:1
Aug 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
1:0
May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Roomussaar K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 18 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Harju JK Laagri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kalju scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Harju JK Laagri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kalju remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Harju JK Laagri
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

Harju JK Laagri

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)