Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju vs Nomme Utd

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Beglarishvili Z.
30' Event
Torres A.
Assist: Beglarishvili Z.
33'
Jarvelaid H.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Kalju and Nomme Utd finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kalju
15%
Draws
42%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Kalju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nomme Utd's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kalju here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Kalju Clean Sheet 20%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Nomme Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Nomme Utd
1:2
Jul 3, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kalju
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Nomme Utd
7:1
Sep 18, 2024 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Nomme Utd
3:0
Jul 19, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kalju
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Beglarishvili Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 24 / 100
Nomme Utd 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Nomme Utd has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Nomme Utd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Nomme Utd
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)