Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2017/2018 Kadrioru Staadion

Paide Linnameeskond II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kalju play Paide Linnameeskond II in the Estonian Cup 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalju averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Paide Linnameeskond II averaged 4.25 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Kalju won 2, Paide Linnameeskond II won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2019 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Kalju and 0.88 for Paide Linnameeskond II. This points to a Kalju double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Kalju

15%

Draws

34%

Paide Linnameeskond II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Kalju picked up more points recently compared to Paide Linnameeskond II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Kalju Clean Sheet 25%

Paide Linnameeskond II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kalju	Paide Linnameeskond II
Matches Played	30	16
Wins	17	7
Draws	6	1
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.9	4.25
Goals Conceded	0.93	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2019 Estonian Cup

Paide Linnameeskond II vs Kalju

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Sep 20, 2017 Estonian Cup

Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond II

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Paide Linnameeskond II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohler R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 51 / 100

Paide Linnameeskond II 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kalju Paide Linnameeskond II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kalju or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalju attacking → ← attacking Paide Linnameeskond II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Paide Linnameeskond II let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kalju went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paide Linnameeskond II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 22

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00