Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju vs Super Nova

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
66' Event
Orlov M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kalju
28%
Draws
22%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kalju have won more games recently than Super Nova.
  • Model gives Kalju a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kalju Clean Sheet 19%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Super Nova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Kalju vs Super Nova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Super Nova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 49 / 100
Super Nova 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Super Nova conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kalju has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Super Nova
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
02 Aug
Kalju
5 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
30 Jul
Kalju
2 : 1
Shelbourne
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Kalju
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
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Super Nova

(Away)
20 Jul
Super Nova
2 : 0
Grobina
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
06 Jul
Super Nova
1 : 2
Ogre United
01 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
25 Jun
Super Nova
1 : 5
Jelgava
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