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Kalju vs Super Nova Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
66' Event
Orlov M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kalju
15%
Draws
46%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kalju have won more games recently than Super Nova.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kalju Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Super Nova
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.32 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Kalju vs Super Nova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Super Nova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 31 / 100
Super Nova 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Super Nova conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kalju has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Super Nova
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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Super Nova

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
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