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Stadium Background

Kalmar vs GAIS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalmar host GAIS in the Allsvenskan. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kalmar at 1.21 goals for, 1.36 against; GAIS at 1.41 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor GAIS slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.56, favoring GAIS. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kalmar
20%
Draws
40%
GAIS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • GAIS have won more games recently than Kalmar.
  • Kalmar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 15%
GAIS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar GAIS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Kalmar
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Kalmar
1:1
Apr 25, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs GAIS
2:3
Sep 2, 2012 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Kalmar
1:2
May 4, 2012 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs GAIS
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 39 / 100
GAIS 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar GAIS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalmar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: GAIS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kalmar found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

GAIS has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS GAIS
0 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
13% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
19 Oct
Degerfors
1 : 2
Kalmar
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Oct
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Kalmar
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
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GAIS

(Away)
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
10 Oct
GAIS
0 : 1
Sirius
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 24 17 4 3 55:30 55
2 Djurgarden 24 15 2 7 50:21 47
3 Hammarby 24 14 4 6 50:21 46
4 Hacken 24 11 9 4 43:30 42
5 Elfsborg 24 11 8 5 37:24 41
6 Vasteras SK 24 11 5 8 35:36 38
7 Malmo FF 24 11 3 10 38:34 36
8 IFK Goteborg 24 10 6 8 34:43 36
9 AIK 24 9 7 8 38:42 34
10 GAIS 24 8 6 10 30:25 30
11 Brommapojkarna 24 8 6 10 36:43 30
12 Mjallby 24 5 8 11 28:40 23
13 Kalmar 24 6 4 14 23:38 22
14 Degerfors 24 5 5 14 21:37 20
15 Orgryte 24 4 6 14 29:54 18
16 Halmstad 24 3 5 16 16:45 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)