Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalmar vs Mjallby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Stroud E.
Assist: Granath V.
17' Event
Keita A.
Assist: Hallberg M.
36'
Miettinen T.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Kalmar and Mjallby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kalmar
35%
Draws
25%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kalmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / High Confidence
  • Kalmar haven't matched Mjallby's recent run of results.
  • Kalmar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 16%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Mjallby
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Mjallby
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs Kalmar
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Kalmar
4:0
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Kalmar
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Mjallby
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagoe Jr C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Stroud E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 48 / 100
Mjallby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalmar found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kalmar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mjallby let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Mjallby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
01 Aug
Hacken
1 : 1
Kalmar
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
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Mjallby

(Away)
04 Aug
Mjallby
1 : 2
Slovan Bratislava
28 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 0
Mjallby
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
21 Jul
Mjallby
3 : 0
Lincoln Red Imps
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 15 13 2 0 42:17 41
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 33:15 27
3 Djurgarden 14 8 2 4 33:15 26
4 Hacken 15 6 7 2 28:23 25
5 Malmo FF 15 7 2 6 30:25 23
6 AIK 15 6 4 5 18:21 22
7 Vasteras SK 15 6 4 5 24:29 22
8 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 20:18 21
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Kalmar 15 5 3 7 19:21 18
11 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 20:19 17
12 Brommapojkarna 15 4 5 6 20:24 17
13 IFK Goteborg 15 4 4 7 19:33 16
14 Orgryte 15 3 4 8 17:33 13
15 Degerfors 15 2 4 9 12:26 10
16 Halmstad 15 1 4 10 11:31 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)