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Kalmar vs Mjallby Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Stroud E.
Assist: Granath V.
17' Event
Keita A.
Assist: Hallberg M.
36'
Miettinen T.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Kalmar and Mjallby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kalmar
30%
Draws
47%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mjallby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mjallby haven't matched Kalmar's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 20%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Mjallby
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Mjallby
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs Kalmar
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Kalmar
4:0
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Kalmar
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Mjallby
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagoe Jr C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Stroud E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 32 / 100
Mjallby 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mjallby conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Kalmar's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mjallby lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Mjallby
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
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Mjallby

(Away)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)