Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalmar vs Orgryte

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gustafsson C.
Assist: Sagoe Jr C.
11'
Lagerlund S.
47' Event
Magashy A.
Assist: Sagoe Jr C.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Kalmar and Orgryte finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kalmar
20%
Draws
40%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kalmar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kalmar taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 16%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Orgryte
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Orgryte
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Kalmar vs Orgryte
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Superettan
Orgryte vs Kalmar
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 Superettan
Kalmar vs Orgryte
2:3
Feb 23, 2020 Svenska Cupen
Kalmar vs Orgryte
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustafsson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magashy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Orgryte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 84 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalmar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orgryte let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Kalmar's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Orgryte has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Orgryte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Aug
Angelholm
0 : 7
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

Orgryte

(Away)
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)