Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalmar vs Sirius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalmar host Sirius in the Allsvenskan. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kalmar have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Sirius's 2.04 scored and 1.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Sirius slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.31) point toward Sirius. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kalmar
30%
Draws
39%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sirius have won more games recently than Kalmar.
  • Model gives Kalmar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sirius have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 18%
Sirius Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Sirius
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Kalmar
3:2
Aug 11, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Kalmar
3:1
Apr 8, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Sirius
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Kalmar vs Sirius
1:0
Aug 13, 2023 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Kalmar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 36 / 100
Sirius 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sirius let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Kalmar found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Kalmar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Sirius
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
29 Oct
Kalmar
0 : 1
GAIS
24 Oct
Kalmar
0 : 3
Brommapojkarna
19 Oct
Degerfors
1 : 2
Kalmar
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Oct
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

Sirius

(Away)
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
24 Oct
Sirius
1 : 2
AIK
18 Oct
Sirius
2 : 2
Elfsborg
10 Oct
GAIS
0 : 1
Sirius
02 Oct
Brondby
1 : 1
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 26 17 4 5 56:34 55
2 Hammarby 26 16 4 6 54:21 52
3 Djurgarden 26 15 4 7 53:24 49
4 Hacken 26 12 10 4 47:30 46
5 Elfsborg 26 11 10 5 39:26 43
6 Vasteras SK 26 12 5 9 39:38 41
7 Malmo FF 26 12 4 10 41:34 40
8 AIK 26 10 8 8 42:45 38
9 IFK Goteborg 26 10 8 8 36:45 38
10 GAIS 26 9 7 10 32:26 34
11 Brommapojkarna 26 9 7 10 39:43 34
12 Mjallby 26 6 8 12 30:43 26
13 Kalmar 26 6 4 16 23:42 22
14 Degerfors 26 5 5 16 21:44 20
15 Orgryte 26 4 7 15 32:58 19
16 Halmstad 26 4 5 17 18:49 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)