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Kalmar W vs Sunnana W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2024 Gröndals IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalmar W play Sunnana W in the Elitettan Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalmar W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. Sunnana W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Kalmar W won 4, Sunnana W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Kalmar W and 0.99 for Sunnana W. This points to a Kalmar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Kalmar W
15%
Draws
32%
Sunnana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalmar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Kalmar W picked up more points recently compared to Sunnana W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Kalmar W Clean Sheet 23%
Sunnana W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar W Sunnana W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Elitettan Women
Sunnana W vs Kalmar W
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 Elitettan Women
Kalmar W vs Sunnana W
0:4
Oct 3, 2020 Elitettan Women
Kalmar W vs Sunnana W
2:1
Aug 1, 2020 Elitettan Women
Sunnana W vs Kalmar W
0:4
Oct 29, 2016 Elitettan Women
Kalmar W vs Sunnana W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sunnana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahlgren W.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar W 52 / 100
Sunnana W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar W Sunnana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalmar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kalmar W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalmar W attacking → ← attacking Sunnana W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalmar W scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Sunnana W let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Kalmar W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sunnana W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 20
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Malmo FF W26212370:2365
2Alingsas W26186267:2160
3Umea W26163756:3451
4IK Uppsala Fotboll W261511048:3146
5Bollstanas W26134946:3543
6Sunnana W261131233:3636
7Mallbacken W26961134:3533
8Jitex W26951248:5432
9Eskilstuna United W26941337:4231
10Gamla Upsala W26931441:4830
11Orebro SK W26751431:4726
12Lidkoping W26741533:6825
13Sundsvall W26481420:5120
14Kalmar W26541725:6419