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Kaltenkirchener vs Kilia Kiel Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 game between Kaltenkirchener and Kilia Kiel finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilia Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kaltenkirchener
30%
Draws
58%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kilia Kiel come out ahead of Kaltenkirchener on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kilia Kiel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Kilia Kiel here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kaltenkirchener Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaltenkirchener Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.72 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kaltenkirchener vs Kilia Kiel
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kaltenkirchener vs Kilia Kiel
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Kaltenkirchener
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaltenkirchener 10 / 100
Kilia Kiel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaltenkirchener Kilia Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilia Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaltenkirchener found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Kilia Kiel let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Kaltenkirchener stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaltenkirchener VS Kilia Kiel
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaltenkirchener

(Home)
27 Sept
Kaltenkirchener
1 : 5
Oldenburger SV
20 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
7 : 0
Kaltenkirchener
12 Sept
Kaltenkirchener
2 : 6
SC Rapid Lubeck
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Kaltenkirchener
29 Aug
Kaltenkirchener
2 : 2
Lubeck II
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Kilia Kiel

(Away)
26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1
Eichede
05 Sept
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3
Kilia Kiel
29 Aug
PSV Neumunster
1 : 4
Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 26 2 2 80:24 77
2 Holstein Kiel II 30 20 5 5 83:26 65
3 Kilia Kiel 30 19 4 7 87:37 61
4 Eichede 30 16 11 3 59:30 59
5 VfR Neumunster 30 15 5 10 61:55 50
6 Heider SV 30 14 5 11 59:58 47
7 PSV Neumunster 30 13 5 12 68:62 44
8 Phonix Lubeck B 30 12 6 12 63:70 42
9 Nordmark Satrup 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
10 Kaltenkirchener 30 10 6 14 49:53 36
11 Rotenhof 30 9 7 14 51:70 34
12 Hohenwestedt 30 8 5 17 48:64 29
13 Oldenburger SV 30 8 5 17 61:86 29
14 Eutin 08 30 7 6 17 32:65 27
15 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 6 2 22 31:77 20
16 Preussen Reinfeld 30 4 4 22 38:86 16
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 (Promotion)