Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaltenkirchener vs Kilia Kiel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilia Kiel in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kilia Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kaltenkirchener
30%
Draws
47%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kilia Kiel lately — more wins on the board than Kaltenkirchener.
  • Kilia Kiel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kilia Kiel here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kaltenkirchener Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaltenkirchener Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.69 2.8
Goals Conceded 1.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kaltenkirchener vs Kilia Kiel
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kaltenkirchener vs Kilia Kiel
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Kaltenkirchener
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaltenkirchener 10 / 100
Kilia Kiel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaltenkirchener Kilia Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilia Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaltenkirchener found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Kilia Kiel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Kaltenkirchener went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaltenkirchener VS Kilia Kiel
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaltenkirchener

(Home)
20 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
7 : 0
Kaltenkirchener
12 Sept
Kaltenkirchener
2 : 6
SC Rapid Lubeck
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Kaltenkirchener
29 Aug
Kaltenkirchener
2 : 2
Lubeck II
22 Aug
Eckernforder SV
2 : 4
Kaltenkirchener
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Kilia Kiel

(Away)
26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1
Eichede
05 Sept
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3
Kilia Kiel
29 Aug
PSV Neumunster
1 : 4
Kilia Kiel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 9 7 1 1 33:12 22
2 VfR Neumunster 9 6 2 1 24:11 20
3 SC Rapid Lubeck 10 6 1 3 24:18 19
4 Kilia Kiel 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
5 Rotenhof 10 4 4 2 21:19 16
6 TSB Flensburg 9 4 2 3 23:15 14
7 Heider SV 10 4 2 4 19:27 14
8 Phonix Lubeck B 10 3 4 3 25:25 13
9 PSV Neumunster 10 3 4 3 20:22 13
10 Oldenburger SV 9 3 2 4 21:23 11
11 Nordmark Satrup 9 3 2 4 13:18 11
12 Eichede 10 2 4 4 15:13 10
13 Kaltenkirchener 9 2 2 5 14:25 8
14 Hohenwestedt 9 1 4 4 17:22 7
15 Lubeck II 10 2 1 7 13:27 7
16 Eckernforder SV 9 2 0 7 16:27 6
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)