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Kaluga vs D. Bryansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaluga host D. Bryansk in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kaluga have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against D. Bryansk's 1.43 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor D. Bryansk slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2024, ending 1:3. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.00) point toward D. Bryansk. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kaluga
30%
Draws
47%
D. Bryansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: D. Bryansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • D. Bryansk have won more games recently than Kaluga.
  • Model gives Kaluga a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and D. Bryansk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 20%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga D. Bryansk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
D. Bryansk vs Kaluga
1:3
May 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs D. Bryansk
1:2
Sep 13, 2023 Russian Cup
D. Bryansk vs Kaluga
1:0
Jun 4, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
D. Bryansk vs Kaluga
7:0
May 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kaluga vs D. Bryansk
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 42 / 100
D. Bryansk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga D. Bryansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Kaluga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kaluga found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: D. Bryansk conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS D. Bryansk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
08 Aug
Kaluga
0 : 0
Rodina Moscow 2
02 Aug
Kirov
1 : 0
Kaluga
26 Jul
Kaluga
0 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
19 Jul
Saratov
1 : 1
Kaluga
13 Jun
Kaluga
3 : 0
Mashuk
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D. Bryansk

(Away)
08 Aug
D. Bryansk
1 : 0
Sibir Novosibirsk
02 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 2
D. Bryansk
26 Jul
D. Bryansk
0 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
19 Jul
Mashuk
0 : 0
D. Bryansk
14 Jun
D. Bryansk
2 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Kirov 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
3 D. Bryansk 4 2 1 1 3:5 7
4 Mashuk 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
5 Sibir Novosibirsk 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
7 Saratov 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
8 Alania Vladikavkaz 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
9 Kaluga 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
10 Dynamo Vladivostok 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)