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Kaluga vs D. Bryansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pikatov D.
45'
Rapakov I.
46'
Sub
Rapakov I. In: Medvedev A.
Out: Rapakov I.

AI Match Summary

D. Bryansk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored D. Bryansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kaluga
20%
Draws
40%
D. Bryansk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • D. Bryansk have won more games recently than Kaluga.
  • Model gives Kaluga a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 68%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga D. Bryansk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
D. Bryansk vs Kaluga
1:4
Aug 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs D. Bryansk
0:1
May 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
D. Bryansk vs Kaluga
1:3
May 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs D. Bryansk
1:2
Sep 13, 2023 Russian Cup
D. Bryansk vs Kaluga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

D. Bryansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Pikatov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 68 / 100
D. Bryansk 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga D. Bryansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaluga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Bryansk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: D. Bryansk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kaluga found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS D. Bryansk
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
18 Oct
D. Bryansk
1 : 4
Kaluga
14 Oct
Yenisey
2 : 0
Kaluga
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
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D. Bryansk

(Away)
18 Oct
D. Bryansk
1 : 4
Kaluga
11 Oct
D. Bryansk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 2
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
D. Bryansk
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 14 9 3 2 27:13 30
2 Kirov 14 8 3 3 17:12 27
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 14 5 5 4 18:15 20
4 Alania Vladikavkaz 14 4 7 3 20:15 19
5 Dynamo Vladivostok 14 4 5 5 13:12 17
6 Mashuk 14 2 10 2 12:12 16
7 D. Bryansk 14 4 4 6 14:22 16
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 14 1 11 2 14:15 14
9 Kaluga 14 1 7 6 10:17 10
10 Saratov 14 1 7 6 10:22 10
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)