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Stadium Background

Kaluga vs Forte Taganrog

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Ushakov E.
31'
Ismagilov A.
36'
Strelnik M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 game between Kaluga and Forte Taganrog finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaluga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kaluga
35%
Draws
19%
Forte Taganrog
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Forte Taganrog carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kaluga's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 68%
Forte Taganrog Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Forte Taganrog
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Forte Taganrog
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Forte Taganrog vs Kaluga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimchuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agureev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Forte Taganrog Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 77 / 100
Forte Taganrog 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Forte Taganrog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaluga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaluga scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Forte Taganrog has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kaluga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Kaluga
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Forte Taganrog

(Away)
15 Jun
FC Murom
3 : 1
Forte Taganrog
07 Jun
Forte Taganrog
2 : 3
Kirov
31 May
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 2
Forte Taganrog
25 May
Kaluga
2 : 0
Forte Taganrog
21 May
Forte Taganrog
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tekstilshtik 18 12 2 4 31:14 38
2 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 11 2 5 36:16 35
3 Kirov 18 9 4 5 23:17 31
4 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 8 2 8 23:24 26
5 Kaluga 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 5 8 5 18:17 23
7 Kursk 18 5 5 8 15:24 20
8 Irtysh Omsk 18 5 5 8 13:20 20
9 FC Murom 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 Forte Taganrog 18 3 5 10 16:33 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Relegation)