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Kaluga vs Kirov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Daliev D.
26' Event
Shevchenko D.
46'
Sub
Kalinov S. In: Kolobov E.
Out: Kalinov S.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between Kaluga and Kirov finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kirov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kaluga
20%
Draws
61%
Kirov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kirov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Kirov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Kirov taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kirov have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 11%
Kirov Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Kirov
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Kirov
1:2
Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kirov vs Kaluga
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Kaluga
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Kirov
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevchenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilalov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ignatovich E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 10 / 100
Kirov 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Kirov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Kaluga's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kirov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Kaluga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Kirov
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
Page 1 of 6

Kirov

(Away)
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)