Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaluga vs Mashuk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Kaluga Logo

Kaluga

3 - 0
FT
Mashuk Logo

Mashuk

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Grishchenko I.
32'
Butenko A.
36' Event
Boldyrev B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaluga in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaluga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kaluga
35%
Draws
35%
Mashuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kaluga lately — more wins on the board than Mashuk.
  • Win probability leans Kaluga's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 68%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Mashuk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 15
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Mashuk
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Kaluga
1:1
May 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Mashuk
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Mashuk vs Kaluga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Boldyrev B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mashuk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 59 / 100
Mashuk 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Mashuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaluga scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Kaluga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mashuk let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Mashuk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
12 Aug
Kaluga
5 : 0
Iskra Smolensk
08 Aug
Kaluga
0 : 0
Rodina Moscow 2
02 Aug
Kirov
1 : 0
Kaluga
26 Jul
Kaluga
0 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
19 Jul
Saratov
1 : 1
Kaluga
Page 1 of 6

Mashuk

(Away)
12 Aug
Astrakhan
2 : 1
Mashuk
08 Aug
Kirov
0 : 0
Mashuk
02 Aug
Mashuk
1 : 1
Saratov
26 Jul
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 2
Mashuk
19 Jul
Mashuk
0 : 0
D. Bryansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leningradets 18 10 4 4 23:23 34
2 Tekstilshtik 18 10 2 6 29:18 32
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 9 5 4 28:20 32
4 Veles Moscow 18 8 4 6 20:12 28
5 Mashuk 18 5 11 2 20:13 26
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 18 6 6 6 21:19 24
7 Kaluga 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
8 Rodina Moscow 2 18 4 7 7 20:23 19
9 Torpedo Miass 18 3 7 8 13:23 16
10 Irtysh Omsk 18 1 7 10 11:31 10
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)