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Kaluga vs Mashuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaluga host Mashuk in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Kaluga at 0.9 goals for, 1.07 against; Mashuk at 1 for, 0.79 against. Head-to-head, Kaluga have won 2 to Mashuk's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.94 - 0.94) back Mashuk to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kaluga
35%
Draws
39%
Mashuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mashuk's 1 goals per match outpaces what Kaluga have produced (0.9).
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Mashuk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 20%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Mashuk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 17
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Kaluga
1:1
Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Mashuk
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Kaluga
1:1
May 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Mashuk
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Mashuk vs Kaluga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 20 / 100
Mashuk 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Mashuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashuk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Kaluga scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Mashuk let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Kaluga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Mashuk
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
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Mashuk

(Away)
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)