Sport Picks

Russia

Russian Cup Stadion Sputnik, Kaluga

Kaluga

1 - 0

Ufa

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Muminov I.

Penalty Missed

38'

Muminov I.

46'

Sub

Agapov I. In: Kutin D.

Out: Agapov I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Kaluga

35%

Draws

32%

Ufa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ufa come out ahead of Kaluga on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Kaluga taking it.
Ufa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kaluga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%

Kaluga Clean Sheet 20%

Ufa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kaluga	Ufa
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	10
Draws	9	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.21	1
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Russian Cup

Kaluga vs Ufa

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Muminov I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Ufa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 42 / 100

Ufa 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kaluga Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ufa conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Kaluga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kaluga found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Ufa

1.25 Goals Scored 1

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)

09 Sept

Kaluga

1 : 0

Ufa

05 Sept

FC Volgar-Astrakhan

1 : 1

Kaluga

30 Aug

Kaluga

1 : 1

Alania Vladikavkaz

25 Aug

Kursk

1 : 2

Kaluga

22 Aug

Kaluga

0 : 1

D. Bryansk

Page 1 of 6

Ufa

(Away)

09 Sept

Kaluga

1 : 0

Ufa

05 Sept

Ufa

1 : 1

Veles Moscow

28 Aug

Neftekhimik

0 : 1

Ufa

23 Aug

Ufa

3 : 1

Yenisey

17 Aug

S. Kostroma

1 : 1

Ufa

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Metallurg Asha 0

TBD -

Saratov -

Khimik -

TBD -

Nosta -

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg -

TBD -

Luki-Energiya -

Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0

FK Tosno 3

TBD -

Cherepovets -

TBD -

Ural -

Kristall 2

Krasnoye Znamya 3

TBD -

D. Bryansk -

Strogino Moscow -

TBD -

Vladimir -

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar -

TBD -

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -

Bomik 1

Broke Boys 2

TBD -

Kirov -

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan -

TBD -

Mashuk -

Nart Cherkessk -

TBD -

Dynamo Stavropol -

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

TBD -

Anzhi 1

Izberbash 5

Angust Nazran -

TBD -

Maykop -

TBD -

Yenisey -

TBD -

Kursk -

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3

Salyut-Belgorod 0

Kaluga -

TBD -

Iskra Smolensk -

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 3

FC Irkutsk 0

TBD -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Temp Barnaul 3

KDV Tomsk 4

TBD -

Sibir Novosibirsk -

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan -

TBD -

FK Pobeda -

Spartak Nalchik -

TBD -

Alania Vladikavkaz -

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

TBD -

M. Lipetsk -

TBD -

FK Shumbrat Saransk -

2Drots 2

FC Oryol 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 3

Kosmos 2

TBD -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Dynamo Vologda -

TBD -

FK Tver -

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

TBD -

Tyumen -

FK Izhevsk -

TBD -

Torpedo Miass -

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 3

Penza 2

TBD -

Spartak Tambov -

Kvant Obninsk -

TBD -

Ryazan -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk -

TBD -

Saturn Ramenskoye -

Anri Vladivostok 1

Dynamo Barnaul 2

TBD -

Dynamo Vladivostok -

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/16-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Saratov 3

Khimik 2

Nosta 3

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg 1

Luki-Energiya 2

FK Tosno 0

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 2

D. Bryansk 0

Strogino Moscow 0

Vladimir 3

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 2

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0

Broke Boys 0

Kirov 2

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 2

Mashuk 1

Nart Cherkessk 1

Dynamo Stavropol 2

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0

Izberbash 3

Angust Nazran 0

Maykop 1

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1

Kaluga 5

Iskra Smolensk 0

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 3

KDV Tomsk 3

Sibir Novosibirsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2

FK Pobeda 0

Spartak Nalchik 4

Alania Vladikavkaz 3

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 1

M. Lipetsk 0

FK Shumbrat Saransk 1

2Drots 2

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 1

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 2

FK Tver 0

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

Tyumen 1

FK Izhevsk 1

Torpedo Miass 2

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 1

Spartak Tambov 2

Kvant Obninsk 0

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 2

Saturn Ramenskoye 1

Dynamo Barnaul 1

Dynamo Vladivostok 0

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/8-finals

Saratov 2

Nosta 1

TBD -

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya 4

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 1

Vladimir 0

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 4

Kirov 5

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

Izberbash 1

Maykop 2

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 1

Kaluga 2

TBD -

Ufa -

FC Chertanovo Moscow 4

KDV Tomsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3

Spartak Nalchik 0

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 3

2Drots 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 1

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1

Torpedo Miass 0

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Spartak Tambov 1

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 0

Dynamo Barnaul 5

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Quarter-finals

Saratov 1

Leningradets 2

Luki-Energiya 2

Ural 1

Krasnoye Znamya 0

SKA Khabarovsk 4

Kirov 1

Kamaz 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2

Shinnik Yaroslavl 2

Torpedo Moscow 0

Maykop 1

Yenisey 2

Kaluga 1

Ufa 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 2

Neftekhimik 1

Tekstilshtik 1

Arsenal Tula 0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0

Ulyanovsk 1

FC Murom 1

Veles Moscow 0

Dynamo Petersburg 2

PFC Sochi 0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

R. Volgograd 0

Ryazan 0

S. Kostroma 2

Dynamo Barnaul 0

Chelyabinsk 2

Semi-finals

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Kirov -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

Yenisey -

Kaluga -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Tekstilshtik -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

S. Kostroma -

Chelyabinsk -

Final

TBD -

Kaluga vs Ufa

Russia

Kaluga

Ufa

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Kaluga Compare

Ufa Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

Ufa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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