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Kalundborg GB vs Lyngby

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

Kalundborg GB play Lyngby in the Landspokal Cup 2014/2015. Lyngby are favorites here. Recently, Kalundborg GB averaged 1.53 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. Lyngby averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Kalundborg GB won 0, Lyngby won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 24, 2014 ended 0:10. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Kalundborg GB and 1.61 for Lyngby. This points to a Lyngby double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kalundborg GB
21%
Draws
56%
Lyngby
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Lyngby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kalundborg GB picked up more points recently compared to Lyngby.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Kalundborg GB Clean Sheet 14%
Lyngby Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalundborg GB Lyngby
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.53 2.63
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2014 Betano Pokalen
Kalundborg GB vs Lyngby
0:10
Apr 24, 2005 2nd Division
Kalundborg GB vs Lyngby
0:1
Nov 7, 2004 2nd Division
Lyngby vs Kalundborg GB
1:0
Apr 24, 2004 2nd Division
Lyngby vs Kalundborg GB
3:3
Aug 16, 2003 2nd Division
Kalundborg GB vs Lyngby
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalundborg GB Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lyngby Compare

Top Goalscorer Gytkjaer F.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Lindberg K.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalundborg GB 24 / 100
Lyngby 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalundborg GB Lyngby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyngby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Lyngby & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalundborg GB attacking → ← attacking Lyngby

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalundborg GB scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Lyngby let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Kalundborg GB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lyngby lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25