Sport Picks
Match Events
59'
59'
Baranovskis N.
90'
90'
Baranovskis N.
AI Match Summary
Upesciems in this Latvian Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalupe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Upesciems lately — more wins on the board than Kalupe.
- Win probability leans Kalupe's way, sitting at 90%.
- Upesciems arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kalupe Clean Sheet 10%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kalupe | Upesciems |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 20 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 3.33 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.79 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 15, 2013 Latvian Cup
Kalupe vs Upesciems
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kalupe Compare
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4
Upesciems Compare
Top Goalscorer Baranovskis N.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kalupe 83 / 100
Upesciems 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kalupe Upesciems
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kalupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Upesciems's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.
Kalupe scored in 67% of their last 6 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Upesciems's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kalupe VS Upesciems
3.33 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Kalupe
(Home) 04 Jul
Kalupe
4 : 5 Kengaroos
20 Aug
Albatroz
5 : 1 Kalupe
02 Aug
Lubana
1 : 13 Kalupe
15 Jun
Kalupe
0 : 1 New Project
26 May
AFA Olaine
1 : 2 Kalupe
Page 1 of 2
04 Jul
Kalupe
4 : 5 Kengaroos
15 Jun
Kalupe
0 : 1 New Project
15 Jun
Kalupe
0 : 2 Upesciems
Upesciems
(Away) 22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3 Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4 Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3 FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0 Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2 Lubana
Page 1 of 4
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0 Upesciems
11 Jun
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
3 : 1 Upesciems
11 Jul
Salaspils FK
3 : 0 Upesciems
18 Jun
Caramba
3 : 2 Upesciems
15 Jun
Kalupe
0 : 2 Upesciems
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0
