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Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Pikara, Marugame
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Match Events

10' Event
Goto Y.
Assist: Sano R.
46'
Sub
Egawa G. In: Endo M.
Out: Egawa G.
46'
Sub
Goto Y. In: Yonezawa R.
Out: Goto Y.

AI Match Summary

Kagoshima United in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kagoshima United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Kamatamare Sanuki
20%
Draws
70%
Kagoshima United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kagoshima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kagoshima United have won more games recently than Kamatamare Sanuki.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Kamatamare Sanuki Clean Sheet 10%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamatamare Sanuki Kagoshima United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 20
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United
3:4
Nov 16, 2025 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki
1:1
Apr 2, 2023 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kamatamare Sanuki Compare

Top Goalscorer Sano R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Goto Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kagoshima United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saga R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamatamare Sanuki 30 / 100
Kagoshima United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamatamare Sanuki Kagoshima United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kagoshima United conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kamatamare Sanuki scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Kamatamare Sanuki went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kamatamare Sanuki VS Kagoshima United
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kamatamare Sanuki

(Home)
09 Oct
SC Sagamihara
3 : 2
Kamatamare Sanuki
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4
Gifu
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
Page 1 of 6

Kagoshima United

(Away)
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Kagoshima United
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2
Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)