Sport Picks
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Pikara, Marugame 
Match Events
58'
58'
Sub
Yonezawa R. In: Ueno A.
Out: Yonezawa R.
58'
58'
Sub
Murakami Y. In: Goto Y.
Out: Murakami Y.
61'
61'
Sub
Makiyama K. In: Arita S.
Out: Makiyama K.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Kamatamare Sanuki and Matsumoto Yamaga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kamatamare Sanuki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kamatamare Sanuki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Matsumoto Yamaga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kamatamare Sanuki Clean Sheet 16%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kamatamare Sanuki | Matsumoto Yamaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:4
Apr 20, 2024 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kamatamare Sanuki Compare
Top Goalscorer Kawakami S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Matsumoto Yamaga Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kamatamare Sanuki 36 / 100
Matsumoto Yamaga 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kamatamare Sanuki Matsumoto Yamaga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matsumoto Yamaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Matsumoto Yamaga conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Matsumoto Yamaga lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Kamatamare Sanuki's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Kamatamare Sanuki VS Matsumoto Yamaga
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kamatamare Sanuki
(Home) 03 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
31 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2 Nara Club
24 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kamatamare Sanuki
21 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 1 Kanazawa
18 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
31 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2 Nara Club
21 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 1 Kanazawa
18 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3 Kumamoto
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 3
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Away) 03 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
31 Oct
Fukushima United
1 : 3 Matsumoto Yamaga
25 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
21 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
18 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
31 Oct
Fukushima United
1 : 3 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28:15 | 28 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27:32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
