Sport Picks
Match Events
61'
61'
Sub
Kertanov K. In: Pokotylo D.
Out: Kertanov K.
67'
67'
Pokotylo D.
70'
70'
Sub
Sukhanov A. In: Akbashev R.
Out: Sukhanov A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Kamaz and Chelyabinsk finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelyabinsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Kamaz have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Chelyabinsk are scoring more at 1.14.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 18%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kamaz | Chelyabinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs Chelyabinsk
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Chelyabinsk vs Kamaz
2:7
Nov 16, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Kamaz
3:3
Oct 28, 2025 Russian Cup
Chelyabinsk vs Kamaz
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Chelyabinsk
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kamaz Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Chelyabinsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Gadzhimuradov R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kamaz 36 / 100
Chelyabinsk 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kamaz Chelyabinsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelyabinsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelyabinsk has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Kamaz found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Kamaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kamaz VS Chelyabinsk
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kamaz
(Home) 18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0 Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0 Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1 Kamaz
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
24 Aug
Kamaz
2 : 3 PFC Sochi
19 Aug
Kamaz
0 : 1 Tekstilshtik
09 Aug
Kamaz
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
27 Jul
Kamaz
0 : 2 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 3
Chelyabinsk
(Away) 26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1 Chelyabinsk
23 Aug
Leningradets
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
09 Aug
R. Volgograd
4 : 1 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
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