Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Kampala City host Kataka in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kampala City have averaged 1.48 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Kataka's 1.29 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Kampala City have won 1 to Kataka's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 18, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.13, favoring Kampala City. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Kampala City lately — more wins on the board than Kataka.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kampala City | Kataka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kampala City scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Kataka conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Kampala City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kampala City
(Home)Kataka
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Blacks Power | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 3 | NEC FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Villa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lugazi | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 7 | Police | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Uganda Revenue | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Express FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Maroons | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 11 | UPDF FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 12 | Kitara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Kataka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Kampala City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 17 | Vipers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |