Sport Picks

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Kampala City vs Kataka

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kampala City host Kataka in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kampala City have averaged 1.48 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Kataka's 1.29 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Kampala City have won 1 to Kataka's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 18, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.13, favoring Kampala City. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kampala City
30%
Draws
47%
Kataka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kampala City lately — more wins on the board than Kataka.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 20%
Kataka Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kampala City Kataka
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Uganda Cup
Kataka vs Kampala City
1:1
May 4, 2025 Uganda Cup
Kampala City vs Kataka
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kampala City 36 / 100
Kataka 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kampala City Kataka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kataka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kampala City scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Kataka conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Kampala City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kampala City VS Kataka
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kampala City

(Home)
08 Sept
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 0
Kampala City
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0
Kampala City
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
23 May
Kampala City
4 : 1
Mbarara City
Page 1 of 6

Kataka

(Away)
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Blacks Power 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
3 NEC FC 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 Villa 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Lugazi 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Entebbe UPPC 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Police 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Uganda Revenue 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Express FC 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
10 Maroons 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
11 UPDF FC 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Kitara 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Kigezi HomeBoyz 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Mbarara City 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Kataka 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
16 Kampala City 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Vipers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Ntugasaze 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)