Sport Picks
Kampala City vs Mbarara City
Uganda
Premier League MTN Omondi Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Kampala City play Mbarara City in the Premier League. Kampala City are favorites here. Recently, Kampala City averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Mbarara City averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Kampala City won 4, Mbarara City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Kampala City and 1.00 for Mbarara City. This points to a Kampala City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kampala City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mbarara City.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kampala City.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kampala City | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kampala City Compare
Mbarara City Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kampala City scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Mbarara City let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Kampala City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Mbarara City lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |