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Kampala City vs NEC FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League MTN Omondi Stadium, Bugoloobi
Kampala City Logo

Kampala City

0 - 2
FT
NEC FC Logo

NEC FC

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Basangwa R.
Assist: Jarieko J.
90' Event
Obuya P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NEC FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored NEC FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kampala City
30%
Draws
43%
NEC FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kampala City average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of NEC FC's 1.17.
  • Win probability leans NEC FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors NEC FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 18%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kampala City NEC FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Kampala City vs NEC FC
0:2
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
NEC FC vs Kampala City
3:1
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Kampala City vs NEC FC
2:1
Feb 13, 2025 Premier League
NEC FC vs Kampala City
1:0
Nov 21, 2024 Premier League
Kampala City vs NEC FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kampala City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

NEC FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Basangwa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obuya P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kampala City 12 / 100
NEC FC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kampala City NEC FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kampala City scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Kampala City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

NEC FC has conceded goals in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kampala City VS NEC FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kampala City

(Home)
09 Oct
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Kampala City
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
08 Sept
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 0
Kampala City
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0
Kampala City
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
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NEC FC

(Away)
08 Oct
NEC FC
0 : 0
Express FC
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Villa 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
4 Entebbe UPPC 5 3 1 1 6:2 10
5 Blacks Power 5 3 0 2 5:7 9
6 Kitara 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
7 Police 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
8 Kampala City 5 2 1 2 2:4 7
9 Vipers 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
10 Maroons 5 2 0 3 8:6 6
11 Lugazi 5 2 0 3 4:9 6
12 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
13 Express FC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Uganda Revenue 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15 Ntugasaze 5 1 0 4 3:11 3
16 Mbarara City 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
17 Kataka 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Kigezi HomeBoyz 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)