Sport Picks

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Kampala City vs Vipers

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 MTN Omondi Stadium, Bugoloobi
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ahimbisibwe Ivan
(Penalty)
88' Event
Munsi G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kampala City
30%
Draws
39%
Vipers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vipers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kampala City lately — more wins on the board than Vipers.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 21%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kampala City Vipers
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 11
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.47 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Premier League
Kampala City vs Vipers
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs Kampala City
1:0
May 31, 2025 Uganda Cup
Kampala City vs Vipers
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Kampala City vs Vipers
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Premier League
Vipers vs Kampala City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kampala City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Munsi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kampala City 37 / 100
Vipers 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kampala City Vipers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kampala City scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Vipers let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Kampala City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kampala City VS Vipers
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kampala City

(Home)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
08 Sept
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 0
Kampala City
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0
Kampala City
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
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Vipers

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)