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Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Kanchanaburi Province Stadium, Kanchanaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Robson Duarte
84' Event
Wattayuchutikul S.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 game between Kanchanaburi and Mahasarakham finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kanchanaburi
35%
Draws
26%
Mahasarakham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kanchanaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mahasarakham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Kanchanaburi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kanchanaburi Mahasarakham
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham
1:1
May 11, 2025 Thai League 2
Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham
4:1
May 4, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Kanchanaburi
3:3
Apr 20, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Kanchanaburi
2:2
Dec 22, 2024 Thai League 2
Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kanchanaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Robson Duarte
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mahasarakham Compare

Top Goalscorer Wattayuchutikul S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kanchanaburi 85 / 100
Mahasarakham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kanchanaburi Mahasarakham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kanchanaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Kanchanaburi's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mahasarakham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Kanchanaburi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kanchanaburi VS Mahasarakham
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kanchanaburi

(Home)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
06 Sept
Satun FC
2 : 4
Kanchanaburi
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6

Mahasarakham

(Away)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
3 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
4 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
5 Muang Loei Utd 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
6 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
7 Kanchanaburi 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
9 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
10 Uttaradit FC 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
11 Songkhla 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
12 Chanthaburi 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
13 Pattaya United 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
14 Nakhon Pathom 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
15 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
17 Phrae United 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Kasetsart 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
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