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Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kanchanaburi host Police Tero in the Thai League 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Kanchanaburi have averaged 1 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Police Tero's 1.15 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor Kanchanaburi slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring Kanchanaburi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Kanchanaburi
30%
Draws
35%
Police Tero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Police Tero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kanchanaburi have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 19%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kanchanaburi Police Tero
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Thai League 2
Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Kanchanaburi
1:2
Nov 16, 2022 League Cup
Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kanchanaburi 31 / 100
Police Tero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kanchanaburi Police Tero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kanchanaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kanchanaburi found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Police Tero conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Kanchanaburi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kanchanaburi VS Police Tero
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kanchanaburi

(Home)
09 Oct
Phrae United
2 : 1
Kanchanaburi
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
06 Sept
Satun FC
2 : 4
Kanchanaburi
Page 1 of 6

Police Tero

(Away)
19 Sept
Khonkaen United
2 : 0
Police Tero
15 Sept
Police Tero
0 : 3
Songkhla
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Police Tero
06 Sept
Police Tero
1 : 0
Muang Loei Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0
Police Tero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
6 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
7 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
8 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
9 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
11 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
12 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
13 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)