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Kansanshi vs Mutondo Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Kansanshi and Mutondo Stars finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kansanshi
30%
Draws
33%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kansanshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kansanshi come out ahead of Mutondo Stars on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kansanshi a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kansanshi Clean Sheet 68%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kansanshi Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Kansanshi vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Kansanshi
1:0
May 15, 2024 Super League
Kansanshi vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Kansanshi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kansanshi 51 / 100
Mutondo Stars 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kansanshi Mutondo Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kansanshi's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mutondo Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Kansanshi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kansanshi VS Mutondo Stars
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kansanshi

(Home)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
13 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Prison Leopards
06 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
02 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
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Mutondo Stars

(Away)
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
29 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
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