Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kansanshi vs Zesco

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kansanshi play Zesco in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kansanshi averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Zesco averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Kansanshi won 1, Zesco won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Kansanshi and 0.69 for Zesco. This points to a Zesco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kansanshi
26%
Draws
37%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Kansanshi picked up more points recently compared to Zesco.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Kansanshi Clean Sheet 28%
Zesco Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kansanshi Zesco
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Super League
Kansanshi vs Zesco
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Super League
Zesco vs Kansanshi
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Kansanshi
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Super League
Kansanshi vs Zesco
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Super League
Kansanshi vs Zesco
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kansanshi 39 / 100
Zesco 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kansanshi Zesco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zesco or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +28.5%
4.76
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kansanshi attacking → ← attacking Zesco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kansanshi scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Zesco let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Kansanshi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zesco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 47
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50