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KaPa vs Haka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
KaPa Logo

KaPa

3 - 2
FT
Haka Logo

Haka

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Friberg N. In: Auvinen E.
Out: Friberg N.
15'
Kuningas M.
16' Event
Whyte O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KaPa in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KaPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
KaPa
30%
Draws
23%
Haka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KaPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haka lately — more wins on the board than KaPa.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%
Haka Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa Haka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.31 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Haka
3:2
Jul 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs KaPa
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs KaPa
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KaPa vs Haka
1:1
Apr 17, 2013 Suomen Cup
Haka vs KaPa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Leinonen N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kuningas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Haka Compare

Top Goalscorer Whyte O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 34 / 100
Haka 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa Haka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

KaPa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Haka conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

KaPa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS Haka
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KaPa

(Home)
25 Sept
KaPa
3 : 2
Haka
19 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
KaPa
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

Haka

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0
Haka
25 Sept
KaPa
3 : 2
Haka
18 Sept
Haka
2 : 0
Klubi 04
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)