Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KaPa vs KTP

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
1 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Tahmbi N.
Assist: Forsell P.
32' Event
Almen A.
Assist: Kuningas M.
59'
Makela J.

AI Match Summary

KTP in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
KaPa
6%
Draws
90%
KTP
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KTP lately — more wins on the board than KaPa.
  • KTP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KTP here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%
KTP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa KTP
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs KTP
1:2
May 9, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KaPa vs KTP
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
7:2
Jul 27, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs KTP
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Almen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahmbi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanninen O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 10 / 100
KTP 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa KTP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

KaPa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

KTP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

KaPa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS KTP
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KaPa

(Home)
21 Jul
KaPa
0 : 2
Klubi 04
17 Jul
KaPa
2 : 2
SJK Akatemia
10 Jul
PK-35
3 : 1
KaPa
28 Jun
KaPa
3 : 1
JaPS
13 Jun
Jippo
3 : 0
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

KTP

(Away)
18 Jul
KTP
0 : 1
PK-35
10 Jul
KTP
4 : 1
JaPS
03 Jul
KTP
3 : 3
Jippo
27 Jun
Haka
0 : 2
KTP
12 Jun
KTP
5 : 1
Ekenas IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PK-3515103225:833
2KTP15102325:1532
3Jippo1576222:1127
4Haka1574426:1725
5JaPS1571714:2322
6Mikkelin1552814:1917
7KaPa1544717:2416
8Ekenas IF1551921:3016
9Klubi 041526714:1812
10SJK Akatemia151597:208
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)