Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KaPa vs KTP

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
KaPa Logo

KaPa

1 - 2
FT
KTP Logo

KTP

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Tahmbi N.
Assist: Forsell P.
32' Event
Almen A.
Assist: Kuningas M.
59'
Makela J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KTP in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
KaPa
20%
Draws
60%
KTP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KTP lately — more wins on the board than KaPa.
  • KTP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KTP here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%
KTP Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa KTP
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.28 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
2:1
Jun 5, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs KTP
1:2
May 9, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KaPa vs KTP
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Almen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahmbi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanninen O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 10 / 100
KTP 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa KTP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

KaPa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: KaPa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

KTP has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS KTP
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KaPa

(Home)
19 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
KaPa
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
20 Aug
KaPa
1 : 3
Jippo
Page 1 of 6

KTP

(Away)
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
04 Sept
Jippo
0 : 2
KTP
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 24 18 3 3 44:21 57
2 PK-35 24 14 6 4 41:18 48
3 Haka 24 13 5 6 45:26 44
4 Jippo 24 11 7 6 32:21 40
5 JaPS 24 11 2 11 22:34 35
6 Ekenas IF 24 8 4 12 28:36 28
7 Mikkelin 24 8 4 12 26:34 28
8 KaPa 24 5 6 13 27:43 21
9 Klubi 04 24 4 8 12 28:36 20
10 SJK Akatemia 24 2 7 15 16:40 13
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)