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KaPa vs Mikkelin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KaPa host Mikkelin in the Ykkosliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: KaPa at 1.31 goals for, 1.79 against; Mikkelin at 1.24 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, KaPa have won 4 to Mikkelin's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.75) point toward Mikkelin. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KaPa
35%
Draws
32%
Mikkelin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • KaPa haven't matched Mikkelin's recent run of results.
  • KaPa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KaPa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
KaPa Clean Sheet 12%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa Mikkelin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KaPa
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KaPa
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Mikkelin
3:2
Jul 11, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KaPa
2:6
May 12, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Mikkelin
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 35 / 100
Mikkelin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa Mikkelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

KaPa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Mikkelin has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

KaPa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS Mikkelin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KaPa

(Home)
25 Sept
KaPa
3 : 2
Haka
19 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
KaPa
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
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Mikkelin

(Away)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 0
Jippo
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)