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KaPa vs PK-35 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
KaPa Logo

KaPa

1 - 4
FT
PK-35 Logo

PK-35

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pitkala E.
10' Event
Uchiyama S.
Assist: Lokake L.
13' Event
Ripatti D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between KaPa and PK-35 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PK-35.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KaPa
35%
Draws
32%
PK-35
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • PK-35 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives PK-35 a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KaPa Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa PK-35
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs PK-35
1:4
Jul 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
PK-35 vs KaPa
3:1
May 17, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs PK-35
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KaPa vs PK-35
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Ykkosliiga
PK-35 vs KaPa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripatti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PK-35 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitkala E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uchiyama S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 10 / 100
PK-35 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa PK-35

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KaPa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: KaPa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: PK-35 conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS PK-35
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KaPa

(Home)
25 Sept
KaPa
3 : 2
Haka
19 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
KaPa
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
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PK-35

(Away)
26 Sept
Jippo
0 : 0
PK-35
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
04 Sept
PK-35
0 : 0
Ekenas IF
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)