Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kapaz 2 vs Gabala 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Asadov G.
45' Event
Bakhshali M.
90' Event
Cafarov E.

AI Match Summary

Gabala 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gabala 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kapaz 2
30%
Draws
23%
Gabala 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kapaz 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gabala 2 average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Kapaz 2's 1.46.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz 2 Gabala 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2023 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Gabala 2
1:2
Sep 6, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Kapaz 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafarov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asadov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakhshali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 2 31 / 100
Gabala 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz 2 Gabala 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gabala 2 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kapaz 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz 2 VS Gabala 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
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Gabala 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)