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Kapaz 2 vs Shamakhi 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Safarov Q.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Kapaz 2 and Shamakhi 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamakhi 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kapaz 2
15%
Draws
53%
Shamakhi 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shamakhi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Kapaz 2 have managed 1.46 goals a game lately — Shamakhi 2 are scoring more at 1.67.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Shamakhi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz 2 Shamakhi 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.46 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2023 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Shamakhi 2
0:1
Dec 6, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Kapaz 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shamakhi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Safarov Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 2 30 / 100
Shamakhi 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz 2 Shamakhi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shamakhi 2 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Kapaz 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Kapaz 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz 2 VS Shamakhi 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
Page 1 of 6

Shamakhi 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
25 Apr
Shamakhi 2
2 : 1
Imisli FK
18 Apr
Qarabag Agdam 2
5 : 0
Shamakhi 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)