Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kapaz 2 vs SumQayit FK 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Quliyev C.
31' Event
Aliyev R.
54' Event
Mammadov N.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Kapaz 2 and SumQayit FK 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kapaz 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kapaz 2
15%
Draws
51%
SumQayit FK 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SumQayit FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kapaz 2 come out ahead of SumQayit FK 2 on wins alone.
  • Kapaz 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 20%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz 2 SumQayit FK 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.46 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Kapaz 2
3:2
Dec 17, 2022 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mammadov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Quliyev C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 2 42 / 100
SumQayit FK 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz 2 SumQayit FK 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SumQayit FK 2 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kapaz 2 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Kapaz 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz 2 VS SumQayit FK 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
Page 1 of 6

SumQayit FK 2

(Away)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)