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Kapaz vs SumQayit FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
Kapaz Logo

Kapaz

2 - 1
FT
SumQayit FK Logo

SumQayit FK

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Keffel In: Senhadji R.
Out: Keffel
33'
Sub
Onanuga O. In: Seyidov S.
Out: Onanuga O.
43'
Feyziyev K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kapaz in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kapaz
15%
Draws
28%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: SumQayit FK at 1.17 per game, Kapaz at 0.69.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 68%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz SumQayit FK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.69 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs SumQayit FK
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Kapaz
3:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs SumQayit FK
1:0
Mar 10, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Kapaz
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 41 / 100
SumQayit FK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

SumQayit FK's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kapaz scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS SumQayit FK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
23 May
Kapaz
0 : 1
Neftci Baku
15 May
Araz PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz
08 May
Sabah Baku
0 : 1
Kapaz
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
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SumQayit FK

(Away)
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3
Neftci Baku
22 May
SumQayit FK
3 : 4
Qarabag Agdam
17 May
Zira FK
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
09 May
SumQayit FK
2 : 1
Araz PFK
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)