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Kapaz vs Turan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

42'
Sub
Milagres H. In: Hadzhiyev F.
Out: Milagres H.
55' Event
Haciyev R.
61' Event
Jo Batista

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kapaz
40%
Draws
29%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kapaz haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Turan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 68%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Turan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2
Feb 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Kapaz
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Kapaz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Haciyev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jo Batista
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 42 / 100
Turan 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Turan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kapaz found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Turan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS Turan
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
23 May
Kapaz
0 : 1
Neftci Baku
15 May
Araz PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz
08 May
Sabah Baku
0 : 1
Kapaz
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
26 Apr
Shamakhi
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
22 May
Turan
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1
Turan
27 Apr
Turan
1 : 1
Zira FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)