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Kapaz vs Zira FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Ganja City Stadium, Gäncä
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kapaz host Zira FK in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Zira FK have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Kapaz have conceded 1.26 and scored 0.74. Past meetings favor Zira FK slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.44) point toward Zira FK. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kapaz
30%
Draws
23%
Zira FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kapaz haven't matched Zira FK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kapaz's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zira FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 16%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Zira FK
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 12
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.74 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.26 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Kapaz
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Zira FK
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Kapaz
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Zira FK
0:1
Feb 24, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Kapaz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 75 / 100
Zira FK 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Zira FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Kapaz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kapaz scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Zira FK conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS Zira FK
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
09 Oct
Araz PFK
0 : 2
Kapaz
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
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Zira FK

(Away)
10 Oct
Zira FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)